Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000083 0.000091 0.000101 0.000112 0.000124 0.000137 0.000152
2026-02-01 0.000069 0.000081 0.000094 0.000111 0.000130 0.000152 0.000179
2026-02-08 0.000059 0.000072 0.000088 0.000109 0.000134 0.000165 0.000204
2026-02-15 0.000051 0.000066 0.000084 0.000108 0.000139 0.000178 0.000232
2026-02-22 0.000045 0.000061 0.000080 0.000108 0.000144 0.000193 0.000262
2026-03-01 0.000040 0.000056 0.000077 0.000106 0.000148 0.000205 0.000289
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000053 0.000075 0.000107 0.000155 0.000221 0.000324
2026-03-15 0.000034 0.000050 0.000073 0.000107 0.000160 0.000236 0.000357
2026-03-22 0.000031 0.000047 0.000070 0.000107 0.000163 0.000249 0.000388
2026-03-29 0.000029 0.000045 0.000069 0.000109 0.000171 0.000267 0.000429
2026-04-05 0.000027 0.000043 0.000068 0.000109 0.000175 0.000281 0.000465
2026-04-12 0.000025 0.000041 0.000066 0.000108 0.000178 0.000294 0.000499
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000039 0.000064 0.000107 0.000182 0.000307 0.000536
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000037 0.000062 0.000107 0.000186 0.000322 0.000578
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000035 0.000060 0.000106 0.000188 0.000333 0.000613
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000033 0.000058 0.000105 0.000191 0.000346 0.000653
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000032 0.000057 0.000105 0.000196 0.000363 0.000701
2026-05-24 0.000017 0.000031 0.000055 0.000104 0.000198 0.000374 0.000740
2026-05-31 0.000016 0.000030 0.000055 0.000105 0.000204 0.000394 0.000799
2026-06-07 0.000015 0.000029 0.000054 0.000105 0.000208 0.000412 0.000852
2026-06-14 0.000014 0.000028 0.000053 0.000105 0.000211 0.000425 0.000900
2026-06-21 0.000014 0.000027 0.000053 0.000106 0.000219 0.000449 0.000972
2026-06-28 0.000013 0.000026 0.000052 0.000106 0.000223 0.000467 0.001031